- PEER-REVIEWED JOURNAL ARTICLES -
Volzke, S; Cleeland, JB; McMahon, CR; Hindell, MA; Corney, SP & Wotherspoon, SJ. 2024. Modeling climate influences on male survival in the highly polygynous southern elephant seal (Mirounga leonina). Ecosphere,15:e4904. doi: 10.1002/ecs2.4904
Climate-mediated shifts in habitat conditions can influence marine predator population dynamics by altering the structure of the food web. Understanding these effects on southern elephant seals requires consideration of their life history. Analyzing 22 years of data from Sub-Antarctic Macquarie Island, Volzke et al. found that male survival rates varied with weaning mass and were influenced by a one-year lagged Southern Annular Mode. This influence was most pronounced during early developmental stages, likely due to associated changes in local productivity. In contrast, breeding adult males showed resilience to broad-scale climate influences once socially competitive for mating. This may reflect the unique ecology of the species' highly polygynous mating system. Understanding these dynamics is vital for predicting potential adaptive responses to future environmental challenges.
Photo credit: Jaimie Cleeland.
Photo credit: Jaimie Cleeland.
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Volzke, S; Cleeland, JB; Hindell, MA; Corney, SP; Wotherspoon, SJ & McMahon, CR. 2023. Extreme polygyny results in intersex differences in age-dependent survival of a highly dimorphic marine mammal. Royal Society Open Science, 10:3, 10221635. doi: 10.1098/rsos.221635
Royal Society Open Science - 2023 Vol. 10, Issue 3
This study investigated the influence of sex and age on survival rates of southern elephant seals using long-term capture-mark-recapture records. The results showed clear differences in age-dependent survival rates between female and male seals. Male survival estimates were lower than females in the same age classes until 8 years of age, after which male survival decreased rapidly while female estimates remained constant. The study suggests that sex-specific adult survival is a result of ecological interactions and evolutionary specialization associated with being a highly polygynous marine predator. Maximizing growth is especially advantageous for males, with size being a major determinant of breeding probability.
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Volzke, S., McMahon, C. R., Hindell, M. A., Burton, H. R., Wotherspoon, S. J. (2021). Climate influences on female survival in a declining population of southern elephant seals (Mirounga leonina). Ecology & Evolution, 11 (16), 11333-11344. doi:10.1002/ece3.7919
Ecology & Evolution - Volume 11, Issue 16
This research investigated the influence of large-scale climate modes (SAM and SOI) on female southern elephant seal survival (φ) by creating demographic models from historic capture-mark-recapture data. Map of the Southern Ocean from Tasmania (top) to East Antarctica and the Ross Sea (bottom) with Macquarie Island location marked by a small circle. Surrounding Antarctica, the Polar Front (blue line), 60th parallel south, (gray circle) and winter sea ice extent (white) are overlaid. Top right: Vegetation map of Macquarie Island (adapted from the Australian Antarctic Data Centre map no. 13106) and stylized illustration of a female southern elephant seal, Mirounga leonina (artwork by: Sophia Volzke).
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